Three Pacific Low-Pressure Areas Under Monitoring, Including One Near Jalisco

The National Meteorological Service (SMN) and National Water Commission (CONAGUA) began monitoring three low-pressure areas in the Pacific Ocean, all of which have potential for cyclonic development within the next seven days.

The first system is the closest geographically to the coasts of Jalisco and carries the highest risk among the three monitored areas. Its probability of cyclonic development within seven days increased to 50%. It is forecast to be south of Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco. State authorities and coastal municipalities such as Puerto Vallarta are monitoring the system’s evolution over the coming days. The SMN continues constant monitoring of all three formations.

The second monitored low-pressure area is in the Gulf of California, 125 kilometers south-southeast of Guaymas, Sonora. Its evolution is considered less accelerated than that of the area off Jalisco. The second system has a 10% probability of cyclonic development within 48 hours, while it has a 10% probability of cyclonic development within seven days.

The third system is forecast to be southwest of the Baja California peninsula and has a 20% probability of cyclonic development within seven days. The 50% probability assigned to the first system is the highest among the three monitored systems. “One of the expected low-pressure areas would be over the Gulf of California.” The most recently issued report was on Tuesday, September 15, at 18:00.

CONAGUA and the SMN recommend that residents of coastal areas of Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán, Guerrero, Sonora, and Baja California remain attentive to official updates over the coming days. Conditions in the Mexican Pacific can change within hours.